This event is decent rank, and the centerline follows the spine of the Santa Cruz Mountains. It is decently "bright" at 12.6 but has two challenges: The sun is at -13 degrees so twilight will brighten the sky. And, the star itself is low in the south only 13 degrees up. Still, it looks do-able and the odds we'll get a "hit" are high. And it has added value because others farther east with better sun and star altitude conditions are on OW, so if we all get a success we'll be able to say something about the shape of this asteroid.
I plan to drive up to the UCSC Marshall meadow for it. Odds of a "hit" up there are 78%. For Karl on Highland Way they're 82%.
Nice event.... but a miss! What are the odds? We were definitely unlucky. Kirk observed as well, a miss.