This is a bright event, at good altitude, in Gemini and will be an easy 'get', but the rank is low and even on the centerline the odds of a hit are only 47%. Karl's on the northern 1-sigma zone with odds of more like 16% of a hit. Similar for Santa Cruz on the southern 1-sigma zone. The centerline is a bit north of St Clares Retreat. It looks like the easiest way to get on the center line is Scotts Valley High School, but it's gated and full of lights. The top of Rodeo Gulch is a little harder to get to, but quiet and good horizons, and odds of a hit there are 43%. It's 19% odds for Karl at his home, and only 2% in downtown Santa Cruz.
The duration is only 0.5 seconds, though. So I would advise doing this in field mode when we analyze, and set integration to a minimum. But don't throw away light by doing "EI" or shorten the exposures.
|
|
Kirk and I both skipped this; not willing to drive miles at 3-5am and sacrifice prime sleep hours, for still a less than 50/50 odds of a success. I've not heard from Karl yet.