This is a east-west path event which only includes Santa Cruz. Closer to the beach is better. So high fog will ruin chances. It may be just too tough to get this, as it's only 32 deg up, Az=160 in Sagittarius, duration is 1.0 sec but drop is only about 1 magnitude or a little more in our red-sensitive camera. So you'll need enough integration to have it well seen when unocculted, to see the dip significantly. The predicted northern limit passes just south of the Upper UCSC meadow we often use, and goes east-west in direction. The red 1-sigma line crosses over St. Clare's Retreat at the top of Rodeo Gulch. Karl's far enough north of this, and it's difficult enough, that it is not worth his trying this one.
I'm even considering not trying it, although I think I'll swing over to it after Selene and see if the target can be gotten at short integrations.
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Kirk and I were ~70 yds apart at Sunlit Ln, barely above the fog tops, for the Selene event, and after discussion, decided to wait the extra hour and try for Hannahshu too. While we were outside the path, we were within a hard stone's throw of the 1-sigma line, and so far these small asteroid event seem to be more wayward than expected. By being at the same spot, perhaps even a short event could be mutually confirmed.
I integrated at 8x. And unplugged the external monitor just before taping began, and the faint star was ~invisible on the flip-out camcorder screen, but I believed would be adequately detectable on the PyMovie data. The target was indeed do-able at decent enough brightness at 8x, and a 1s event should have been visible as I judge from the constructed light curve below, but the most likely conclusion is a miss, pending Kirk's data.
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Observed at 16x on his NTSC camcorder. He too finds a miss. No event apparent. Clearly for both of us; an event smaller than our integration time could be lost in the noise, but given there's not even a hint of a slightly deeper drop during the predicted event time.
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