This event is a bit of a challenge, but with good conditions should be do-able. However, it has a poor RUWE=3.35, and also has a poor rank with wide 1-sigma zones. The odds are we'll get a miss, just to be warned. The star field is at least not crazy like recent Sagittarius events; It's in Aquarius, at decent altitude.
Duration = 0.4s
Alt=39, Az=145 in the Southeast, it's 10 degrees above the left corner of Capricorn's "smile".
|
|
I recorded from 25' east of my carport. At 8x. Sky background was bright, but the target was clear, and the light curve is most consistent with a miss. A short event of 0.1s could be missed, but there's no hint of a partial drop such as that would cause, not in my light curve. The few single point drops did not go to zero and were not lined up with the predicted time.
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
Looks like a miss for me for 1997 AC8, Aug. 5th at home, 4x. There's a single integration drop close to prediction time, but there are similar drops as deep or deeper throughout.
The PyOTE detectability tool reports an event as short as 0.25s would likely be detectable. Predicted max duration was 0.42s.
Rick, you said in your email that night that you recorded this event at 8x like Karl did.
RN: Correct, I did it at 8x. For your light curve, you had the 2nd deepest single point drop right next to the predicted time. For a predicted duration of only 0.4s and at 16x, I would not assume this is a miss, but instead an "unsure". The case for a miss is: the rank is poor and RUWE is too, and I did have a clear miss from home. But you may have had a positive of almost full duration too. Hard to tell.
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |